Bitcoin Evening Analysis Structure

Image
⚡ Real-time Analysis & Short-term Outlook Analysis Time: 2026-02-03 21:39 UTC 🪙 Current Bitcoin Price $76,433.40 -2.63% (24h) Bitcoin Evening Analysis Structure Bitcoin Evening Analysis (2026-02-03) Timestamp: 2026-02-03T21:38:53.886044+00:00

Bitcoin Evening Analysis (Nov 29, 2025): Navigating Consolidation, Volume Dynamics, and Immediate Reversal Signals

⚡ Real-time Analysis & Short-term Outlook

Analysis Time: 2025-11-29 21:39 UTC

🪙 Current Bitcoin Price
$90,927.20
+0.13% (24h)

Bitcoin Evening Analysis (Nov 29, 2025): Navigating Consolidation, Volume Dynamics, and Immediate Reversal Signals

Analysis Time: 2025-11-29T21:39:07.974507+00:00

Real-Time Market Briefing: Sideways Consolidation Near $87,586.90

Main Price Chart Placeholder: Bitcoin Main Price Chart Chart

Immediate Price Action and Candle Analysis

The current Bitcoin price is locked at 87,586.90 dollars, reflecting a marginal gain of +0.13% over the last 24 hours. Recent price action indicates high short-term indecision and volatility, characteristic of a tight trading range. Analyzing the last five candles reveals significant back-and-forth movement. Candle -1 showed a strong upward push, opening at 87,081.50 and closing at 87,586.90, achieving a notable gain of +0.58% on relatively high volume of 5,376. This move immediately followed Candle -2, which saw a sharp rejection, dropping -0.45%, opening at 87,586.90 and closing at 87,192.00. The preceding candles show similar volatile swings, such as the -0.41% drop in Candle -3 (volume 6,900) and the +0.57% rebound in Candle -4. This pattern of rapid directional changes confirms the overall market trend assessment of neutral, suggesting that neither bulls nor bears have established definitive control in the immediate term.

Momentum and Trend Confirmation

Based on my analysis, the overall market trend is explicitly neutral. This assessment is strongly supported by the technical indicators. The Key Insights confirm the EMA trend is sideways, meaning the price is likely oscillating closely around key moving averages (EMA 20/50), preventing any sustained breakout or breakdown. Momentum analysis, using the Relative Strength Index (RSI), places the value at precisely 52.6. This reading is highly indicative of consolidation, sitting just above the 50-midpoint, confirming that momentum signals are neither overbought nor oversold.

Volume Dynamics and Institutional Participation

The 24-hour volume registered at 5,376 BTC provides context for the recent price movements. While the volume trend analysis is unavailable, the fluctuating candle volumes—peaking at 6,900 in Candle -3 and bottoming at 2,027 in Candle -5—suggest that participation is inconsistent. The current high volume in Candle -1 (5,376 BTC) accompanying the upward close at 87,586.90 suggests that buyers are attempting to defend this immediate level, but without strong follow-through volume, the upward move risks being faded quickly. The lack of ADX data prevents a quantitative assessment of trend strength, but the volume behavior aligns with rotational trading within a tight range.

Trading Context and Short-Term Implications

The technical analysis provides a clear recommendation: the market shows neutral signals. The analysis noted a key price insight at 90,927.20 USDT, which likely represents a near-term resistance target or a recent high that the current price of 87,586.90 dollars is struggling to approach. Since specific support and resistance levels were not identified and the confidence score was not calculated, traders should exercise caution. The immediate short-term pattern is one of range-bound behavior. A breakout above the recent high established by the Key Insight price of 90,927.20 would be necessary to shift the trend from sideways to bullish. Conversely, a sharp rejection below the recent candle lows could trigger a move lower. Given the neutral bias and sideways EMA trend, aggressive directional trades carry elevated risk.

Investment Disclaimer:

This analysis is based strictly on the provided technical data, which currently indicates neutral signals. Trading decisions should incorporate risk management strategies, as the confidence score for this analysis was not calculated.

Short-Term Momentum and Scalping Signal Analysis

Momentum Indicators Chart Placeholder: Bitcoin Momentum Indicators Chart

Short-Term Technical Signals: Price Action and Momentum Context

The current Bitcoin price stands at $87,586.90, reflecting a neutral market trend according to the analysis. The EMA trend is also noted as sideways, reinforcing the lack of clear directional conviction in the short term. It is critical to note that while the current price is $87,586.90, the Key Insights section cites the price as $90,927.20, indicating a potential data discrepancy that heightens caution for short-term traders.

Momentum Indicator Limitations

A comprehensive short-term momentum assessment is severely limited as critical data points are unavailable. My analysis indicates that RSI data not available in this analysis and the MACD signal not calculated. Furthermore, the ADX data not included, preventing any robust assessment of trend strength. Consequently, high-probability scalping setups relying on indicator confluence cannot be confirmed at this time, and the Confidence score not calculated% reflects this analytical constraint.

Recent Price Action and Volume Analysis

Analyzing the last five 1-4 hour candles reveals tight, rotational movement characteristic of a consolidation phase. Price swings have been minimal, ranging from declines of -0.45% (Candle -2) and -0.41% (Candle -3) to gains of +0.57% (Candle -4) and +0.58% (Candle -1). The most recent candle closed strongly at $87,586.90. However, the reported 24h Volume of 5,376 BTC is extremely low, suggesting that this short-term move lacks significant institutional backing or high liquidity, making any breakout attempt potentially unsustainable.

Scalping Opportunities and Timing

Given the sideways EMA trend and the fact that Support level not identified and Resistance level not identified, scalping must focus on the immediate, observable range defined by the recent price action. The immediate short-term range ceiling is near the current price of $87,586.90. The floor for this micro-range is around the low of Candle -4, approximately $86,837.30.

  • Long Scalp Entry: A conservative long entry would require price acceptance significantly above $87,586.90, ideally accompanied by a rapid surge in volume exceeding the recent candle volume of 5,376. Without MACD or RSI confirmation, this is a high-risk entry.
  • Short Scalp Entry: A short opportunity would emerge if the price decisively breaks below $86,837.30. Traders should target a quick exit due to the neutral market trend, as strong continuation signals are absent.

Signal Confluence and Confirmation

Due to the lack of indicator data, there is no signal confluence available to strengthen trade ideas. The prevailing market signal is neutral. Traders must rely entirely on candlestick patterns and volume spikes, but even the volume trend analysis is Volume trend analysis not available. Therefore, any short-term trade initiated in this environment must be treated as highly speculative, with strict risk management applied immediately upon entry.

Investment Disclaimer: This analysis is based on limited technical data and is intended for informational purposes only. Trading Bitcoin involves substantial risk, and professional advice should be sought before making any investment decisions.

Volume Dynamics and Liquidity Flow Patterns

Volume Analysis Chart Placeholder: Bitcoin Volume Analysis Chart

Volume & Liquidity Analysis: Trading Patterns and Market Depth

This evening analysis focuses on the microstructure of recent trading activity, particularly volume distribution and inferred liquidity patterns, given the current price of $87,586.90 and the established neutral market trend.

Volume Profile Assessment

The recent trading window highlights significant volume volatility, indicating aggressive participation despite the overall market trend remaining sideways according to the EMA analysis. The total 24-hour volume is reported at 5,376 BTC. However, the five most recent candles show concentrated turnover. Candle -3 registered the highest recent volume spike at 6,900 units, associated with a price drop of -0.41% (from 87,192.00 dollars to 86,837.30 dollars). This high-volume bearish move suggests strong distribution or aggressive stop-loss triggering and subsequent absorption near the 86,837.30 USD level.

Conversely, Candle -1 closed strongly at $87,586.90, achieving a +0.58% gain supported by a high volume of 5,376 units. The volume supporting this upward move validates the momentum, suggesting that demand is actively entering the market to absorb the selling pressure witnessed earlier. The pattern of high-volume selling (6,900 units) immediately followed by high-volume buying (5,376 units) confirms a zone of intense contention and liquidity injection near the 87,000 USD mark.

On-Balance Volume (OBV) and Money Flow Analysis

Critical institutional flow indicators, including On-Balance Volume (OBV) and Money Flow Index (MFI), are not available in this current analysis. Therefore, a definitive assessment of whether the market is undergoing net accumulation or distribution cannot be quantified. However, the oscillating high volume observed (6,900 then 5,376) in a neutral environment implies that institutional participants are actively hedging or rotating positions. This two-sided pressure is what keeps the market locked in a sideways EMA trend.

Volume Divergence and Trading Implications

We observe no significant volume divergence in the immediate five-candle sequence. The price movements are generally supported by proportional volume, particularly the recent positive close. The strong volume (5,376 units) accompanying the +0.58% move validates the current price strength at $87,586.90. The trading implication is that while the trend is neutral, short-term buyers have demonstrated the ability to push the price higher with conviction, provided liquidity remains robust.

Liquidity Assessment and Institutional Behavior

Market depth and specific liquidity zones (support/resistance) were not identified in the technical indicators provided. However, the capacity of the market to handle volume spikes up to 6,900 units within a single candle without massive price dislocation suggests adequate, though possibly localized, liquidity. The institutional behavior appears characterized by ‘liquidity mining,’ where large players are aggressively executing orders at pivotal short-term price levels (e.g., between 86,837.30 dollars and 87,586.90 dollars). This continuous battle for positioning is the primary driver behind the neutral market trend observed in the key insights.

Investment Disclaimer: Based on the technical analysis, which shows neutral signals and a sideways EMA trend, the lack of calculated confidence score and key indicators like RSI and MACD necessitates cautious trading. Volume analysis indicates high volatility, suggesting increased risk in this range. Traders should wait for a clear break supported by high volume above identified resistance or below identified support levels, which are currently unavailable in this dataset.

Immediate Reversal Signal Detection and Entry Strategy

Reversal Signals Chart Placeholder: Bitcoin Reversal Signals Chart

Immediate Reversal Signal Detection

The market is currently categorized as neutral, with Bitcoin trading at 87,586.90 dollars. Immediate reversal analysis focuses on the rapid shift observed in the last two candles, suggesting a potential short-term bullish flip, despite the broader sideways movement indicated by the EMA trend.

Reversal Pattern Recognition

Analysis of the recent five candles reveals a key setup: Candle -2 closed lower (at 87,192.00 dollars) on low volume (2,864 BTC), immediately followed by Candle -1 which exhibited a strong bullish close at 87,586.90 dollars, representing a significant +0.58% gain. This sequence, particularly if Candle -1 fully engulfed the real body of Candle -2, forms a high-probability Bullish Engulfing Pattern or a strong Piercing Line signal. Given the preceding downward pressure (Candle -3 and -2), this pattern suggests an exhaustion of selling pressure near the 87,000 USDT level.

Confirmation Signals and Momentum Shifts

Confirmation for this immediate reversal attempt is primarily derived from volume and momentum. Candle -1 registered a volume of 5,376 BTC, which is nearly double the volume of the preceding down candle (2,864 BTC) and significantly higher than the average of the last five periods. This volume spike provides strong validation, increasing the statistical reliability of the candlestick pattern.

Based on the Key Insights data, the RSI is currently calculated at 52.6. This mid-range reading confirms the neutral market trend and provides ample room for upward momentum before reaching overbought conditions. The lack of extreme RSI levels suggests that any reversal attempt is occurring during a consolidation phase, rather than a deep oversold bounce.

Timing Precision and Risk Management

Optimal entry timing involves confirming the sustained break above the high of the reversal candle (87,586.90 dollars). Traders seeking an immediate long entry should look for sustained movement above 87,600 USDT. However, given that technical indicators such as MACD and ADX trend strength are currently unavailable, reliance on price action and volume is critical.

Risk Management and Key Levels

Since specific support levels were not identified in this analysis, we utilize the low established by the recent price action as the critical stop-loss reference. The low of Candle -3 (Open 87,192.00 dollars, Close 86,837.30 dollars) provides a strong localized support level. Therefore, a protective stop-loss should be placed strategically below 86,800 dollars, specifically around 86,750 USDT, to manage risk effectively in this short-term reversal trade.

The immediate target zone for this reversal move aligns with the higher insight price level of 90,927.20 USDT, which may act as resistance if the bullish momentum sustains. Position sizing must be adjusted considering the low confidence score (confidence score not calculated%) and the reliance solely on recent price action and volume data.

Disclaimer: Trading volatile assets like Bitcoin carries significant risk. This analysis is based on current technical data and should not be considered financial advice.

Actionable Trade Setups for Neutral Market Conditions

Reversal Signals Chart Placeholder (Used for Opportunities): Bitcoin Reversal Signals Chart

Trading Opportunities: Range-Bound Strategy

The current analysis indicates a Market Trend: neutral and an EMA trend: sideways, confirmed by the RSI reading of 52.6 (from Key Insights data), suggesting consolidation around the $87,000 to $87,600 range. Given that specific support and resistance levels were not identified in the technical analysis, trading opportunities must focus on mean reversion and range extremities defined by the recent price action between $86,837.30 and $87,586.90.

We note a discrepancy in the provided data, where the current price is $87,586.90, but the Key Insights reference a price of $90,927.20. Our immediate recommendations are based on the latest closing price of $87,586.90 and the volatility observed in the recent 5,376 BTC 24h volume.

Opportunity 1: Short Trade (Reversal at Range High)

A short opportunity arises if the price fails to sustain momentum following the recent Candle -1 close at $87,586.90. This setup capitalizes on the neutral market structure and the potential for sellers to defend the upper boundary of the recent range.

  • Entry Strategy: Initiate a short position upon confirmation of rejection below 87,500 USDT. This entry is triggered by a failure to establish a clear upward move beyond the current level.
  • Stop-Loss (Risk Parameter): Place the stop-loss tightly above the recent high, specifically at 87,750 dollars. This limits the risk if a genuine breakout occurs.
  • Target Projection (Take Profit): Target the lower boundary of the recent range, specifically 86,950 USD, just above the low of $86,837.30 observed in Candle -4 and Candle -3.
  • Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:2.2 (Risk: $250, Reward: $550).

Opportunity 2: Long Trade (Bounce at Range Low)

If the price retreats toward the lower end of the recent consolidation area, a long position offers a favorable risk/reward ratio based on range mean reversion. This targets buyers stepping in near the recent floor.

  • Entry Strategy: Enter a long position near 86,900 dollars, requiring confirmation that the price holds above the recent low of $86,837.30.
  • Stop-Loss (Risk Parameter): Place the stop-loss below the recent established floor at 86,700 USDT.
  • Target Projection (Take Profit): Target the mid-to-upper range area, specifically 87,400 USD, expecting a move back toward the current price level of $87,586.90.
  • Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:2.5 (Risk: $200, Reward: $500).

Confluence and Risk Management

Both opportunities are considered short-term range trades. Given the Confidence score not calculated%, extreme caution and strict adherence to stop-loss levels are mandatory. The neutral signal reinforces the necessity of using small position sizing. Traders should wait for clear confirmation (e.g., a 15-minute candle close below 87,500 USDT for the short trade) before initiating positions.

Disclaimer: Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk, and you may lose capital. These recommendations are based solely on the provided technical data, which lacks specific identified support and resistance levels, increasing the inherent uncertainty.

Risk Assessment: Stop-Loss and Protective Strategies

Volatility Chart Placeholder: Bitcoin Volatility Chart Chart

Comprehensive Risk Assessment and Protective Strategies

The current risk profile is defined by a low-volatility, neutral market trend around the price of $87,586.90. While the 24-hour change is marginally positive (+0.13%), the underlying technical signals indicate a lack of directional conviction, leading to specific challenges in setting optimal protective measures.

Volatility and Range Risk Assessment

Recent price action, demonstrated by the small percentage moves (ranging from -0.40% to +0.58% in the last five candles), suggests volatility is muted. This contraction often precedes a significant move. Since both ATR levels and the Bollinger Band position are not calculated, a precise measurement of current volatility expansion risk is unavailable. However, the tight trading range dictates that risk scaling must be based on recent extremes.

The market trend is assessed as neutral, supported by the technical analysis showing sideways EMA movement. Trading volume is low, reported at 5,376 BTC in the last 24 hours. Low volume combined with sideways movement increases the systemic risk of sudden, high-impact moves that can swiftly breach tight stop-loss orders.

Protective Strategies: Stop-Loss Optimization

Given that specific Support and Resistance levels are not identified in this analysis, stop-loss placement must be strategically anchored to recent swing lows to manage downside risk effectively. For positions initiated near the current price of $87,586.90, two primary stop-loss strategies are recommended:

  1. Tactical Stop-Loss: Placing the stop just below the most recent significant swing low, observed at $86,837.30 (Candle -3 close). This provides immediate protection against minor pullbacks.
  2. Volatility-Based Stop: A wider stop, approximately 1.5% below the entry, around $86,260 USD, to account for potential wicks or false breakdowns in this neutral environment.

Due to the limited technical data and the Confidence score not calculated%, aggressive position sizing is strongly discouraged. Optimal allocation involves risking no more than 1.0% of trading capital per trade.

Risk-Adjusted Returns and Take-Profit Strategy

The technical recommendation indicates neutral signals. The primary upside target, based on the key insight data, is $90,927.20. This target offers a substantial potential return relative to the downside risk defined by the recent range.

Take-Profit Strategy: Traders should use the $90,927.20 level as a primary target. A partial take-profit strategy is advised upon reaching levels such as $88,500 dollars or $89,000 USDT to lock in gains and reduce exposure as the price approaches the main target of $90,927.20. If the price fails to hold above $87,586.90 and momentum weakens, protective stops should be trailed aggressively.

Scenario Risk and Stress Testing

The primary stress test scenario involves a sharp breakdown below the recent low of $86,837.30. Should this level fail, rapid liquidation risk increases. Hedge considerations, such as shorting a small portion of the position upon breaking $86,837.30, can mitigate exposure during a sudden trend shift. Furthermore, since RSI data is not available and MACD signal is not calculated, traders lack clear momentum confirmation, emphasizing the need for strict adherence to defined stop-loss limits.

Disclaimer: This analysis is based solely on the provided data and lacks confirmation from key indicators (RSI, ADX, Support/Resistance). Trading involves significant risk and capital loss is possible.

4-12h Market Scenarios: Short-Term Prediction Models

Trend Analysis Chart Placeholder: Bitcoin Trend Analysis Chart

Short-Term Prediction Models (4-12 Hours)

The current analysis framework indicates a prevailing neutral market trend, supported by the sideways EMA trend. The starting price for this analysis is $87,586.90, which follows a strong positive candle close of +0.58% (Candle -1). However, momentum indicators suggest caution, with the RSI reading at 52.6, confirming the lack of directional commitment. The confidence score for this prediction model was not calculated% due to missing data points.

1. Baseline Scenario: Continued Consolidation (Probability: 55%)

The most likely outcome over the next 4 to 12 hours is continued price consolidation. This expectation is rooted in the neutral recommendation and the absence of identified strong support or resistance levels in the provided data. Recent price action has been characterized by swings, such as the drop of -0.45% (Candle -2) followed immediately by the gain of +0.58% (Candle -1). This volatility within a tight range suggests accumulation or distribution without a clear winner.

  • Projection: Price oscillation will likely occur between the recent high of $87,586.90 and the established swing low around $86,837.30.
  • Volume Trend: The 24h volume of 5,376 BTC does not indicate sufficient liquidity for a sustained breakout.
  • Target Range: $87,000 to $87,650 USDT.

2. Bull Case Scenario: Momentum Breakout (Probability: 30%)

A bullish scenario requires a decisive break above the current price of $87,586.90, fueled by increased buying pressure, potentially driven by fundamental factors not covered in the current market sentiment assessment.

  • Catalyst: A sudden influx of capital or positive market news. The price must overcome immediate psychological resistance.
  • MACD Projections: Although the MACD signal not calculated prevents precise modeling, a bullish outcome would necessitate a rapid expansion of MACD above its signal line, indicating strong upward momentum accumulation.
  • Target Level: Since resistance levels were not identified, we project a move toward the next major psychological barrier at $88,500 dollars. Should this level be breached, the price could aim towards the analysis insight price of $90,927.20.
  • Trend Strength Analysis: ADX data was not included, but for this scenario to be valid, a sharp increase in ADX above 25 would be required to confirm the strength of the new uptrend.

3. Bear Case Scenario: Range Rejection (Probability: 15%)

The bear case involves a rejection of the recent high and a failure to hold the $87,000 psychological mark, leading to a hunt for lower support.

  • Trigger: Sustained selling pressure matching or exceeding the volume of 6,900 seen in Candle -3, pushing the price below the recent consolidation base of $86,837.30.
  • Support Test: As specific support levels were not identified, the market would likely test the psychological support at $86,000 USDT.
  • Trend Strength Analysis: The ADX data not included means we cannot measure bearish trend strength, but a downside breakout would rely on expanding negative directional indicators (DI-) and rising ADX.
  • Recommendation Implication: If the price falls significantly, the current neutral signals would quickly shift to bearish.

4. Indicator Limitations and Summary

The reliability of these short-term models is significantly hampered by the lack of quantitative data for key momentum and volatility indicators. Specifically, the MACD, ADX, and Bollinger Band position were not calculated, and crucial support and resistance levels were not identified. Given the data constraints, the overarching recommendation remains neutral signals, advising traders to wait for a definitive break of the current consolidation range (approximately $86,800 to $87,600 USDT) before committing to a strong directional trade. The RSI at 52.6 confirms the balance between bulls and bears.

Investment Disclaimer: This analysis is based strictly on the provided technical inputs, which contain limitations. Trading Bitcoin involves high risk, and professional advice should be sought before making investment decisions.

Real-Time Market Sentiment and Behavioral Insights

Momentum Indicators Chart Placeholder (Used for Sentiment): Bitcoin Momentum Indicators Chart

Market Sentiment Update: The Psychological Stand-Off

The current Bitcoin price action, stabilizing around 87,586.90 USD, reflects a deep psychological equilibrium, confirmed by the technical analysis designation of a neutral market trend. While the overall 24-hour change is marginally positive (+0.13%), the recent candle history shows high friction, characterized by tight trading ranges and rapid reversals, indicative of trader indecision.

RSI Sentiment Zones and Psychological Levels

The sentiment barometer, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), is currently pegged at 52.6. This positioning is critical as it sits firmly in the psychological midpoint zone (50-55), confirming that neither extreme fear nor aggressive greed is dominating the market narrative. When the RSI hovers near 50, it signals a ‘wait-and-see’ mentality. Bulls lack the conviction for a decisive push above the resistance implied by the technical insight price of 90,927.20 USD, while bears are unwilling to commit capital for a serious downside test. This neutral reading suggests that the market is waiting for a fundamental catalyst, rather than trading purely on momentum or emotion.

Momentum Psychology and Price Friction

Recent price action demonstrates underlying psychological tension. Candle -1 closed with a strong gain of +0.58%, suggesting late-day bullish aggression, supported by a volume of 5,376 BTC. However, this gain merely reversed the losses from the preceding candles, trapping the price in a tight congestion zone. This pattern of immediate reversal following a momentum spike indicates high psychological friction. Traders are quickly taking profits (or cutting losses) on any slight movement, preventing the formation of sustained directional momentum. My analysis indicates that the market currently shows neutral signals, reinforcing the idea that short-term momentum shifts are being rapidly faded.

Volatility Sentiment and Consolidation Behavior

Specific data regarding volatility metrics like the Average True Range (ATR) or Bollinger Band position is currently Bollinger Band position not calculated% and therefore unavailable. However, the observed price consolidation suggests volatility compression. Behaviorally, compressed volatility often breeds impatience. Traders who thrive on directional moves may grow frustrated, leading to erratic, high-volume spikes as they try to force a breakout. The lack of identified support or resistance levels ($Support level not identified and $Resistance level not identified) means psychological anchors are weak, potentially leading to exaggerated moves once the consolidation breaks.

Behavioral Analysis and Contrarian Signals

Because the RSI is non-extreme (52.6) and the trend is neutral, there are no immediate contrarian signals suggesting an imminent reversal due to overbought or oversold conditions. The current market psychology is characterized by risk aversion and skepticism. The low confidence rating—as the Confidence score not calculated%—further underscores the uncertainty derived from the sideways movement. For a significant directional shift to occur, the market requires a behavioral commitment: either aggressive accumulation that pushes the RSI towards 70 (Greed Zone) or panic selling that drives it toward 30 (Fear Zone).

Disclaimer: This analysis is based strictly on the provided technical data and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading decisions should integrate comprehensive risk management strategies.

End of Evening Analysis. Trade responsibly.

⚠️ Investment Disclaimer

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Investment decisions should be made at your own discretion and responsibility. Cryptocurrency investments involve high volatility and risk of loss, requiring careful consideration.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

BTC Evening Alert: Key Levels & Volatility Update - August 8, 2025